Thursday, July 17, 2008

Another Global Warming Proponent Turns Skeptic

Notice It’s Almost Never the Other Way Around

Hat tip: Gabriel Malor at Ace of Spades

Get this – a former official at the Australian Greenhouse office, one who wanted quick action before all the science was really debated fully, is now skeptical about the relationship between carbon emissions and climate change. I find it interesting that this scientist has noticed the lack of public debate on the matter. Ya think Al Gore and company like it that way?

The last point is particularly relevant to the “debate:”

The new ice cores show that in the past six global warmings over the past half a million years, the temperature rises occurred on average 800 years before the accompanying rise in atmospheric carbon. Which says something important about which was cause and which was effect.

None of these points are controversial. The alarmist scientists agree with them, though they would dispute their relevance.

The last point was known and past dispute by 2003, yet Al Gore made his movie in 2005 and presented the ice cores as the sole reason for believing that carbon emissions cause global warming. In any other political context our cynical and experienced press corps would surely have called this dishonest and widely questioned the politician's assertion.

Tells you something about the “experience” of the press corps, right? Even more astounding is what follows:

The world has spent $50 billion on global warming since 1990, and we have not found any actual evidence that carbon emissions cause global warming. Evidence consists of observations made by someone at some time that supports the idea that carbon emissions cause global warming. Computer models and theoretical calculations are not evidence, they are just theory.

I can tell you from personal experience, having worked with environmental modelers, that I do not trust them as far as I can throw them. There’s always something badly wrong with the assumptions that go into models, and what gets presented to the public is the most extreme result, even if it is not very plausible.

What is going to happen over the next decade as global temperatures continue not to rise? The Labor Government is about to deliberately wreck the economy in order to reduce carbon emissions. If the reasons later turn out to be bogus, the electorate is not going to re-elect a Labor government for a long time. When it comes to light that the carbon scare was known to be bogus in 2008, the ALP is going to be regarded as criminally negligent or ideologically stupid for not having seen through it. And if the Liberals support the general thrust of their actions, they will be seen likewise.

Maybe one can say the same for America’s Democratic Party?